A cryptocurrency analyst has shared a timeline for a potential price bottom, predicting how low Bitcoin (BTC) could fall during this market cycle. The expert based his bearish outlook on Bitcoin’s 400-day cycle, a recurring pattern that appears consistently across multiple market stages. Based on these historical trends, he proposed the following: BTC may still face further downside In the current bear market before the long-term recovery phase begins.
Analyst Says Bitcoin’s Final Cycle Bottom Is October
Cryptocurrency market analyst Bee provided a definitive timeline for the cryptocurrency’s exit. Current Bitcoin bear market Based on rigorous historical market trends. His analysis is, shared At
Based on this framework, Bitcoin is now 252 days into a cyclical bear phase that has historically lasted between 364 and 400 days. This means that the leading cryptocurrency market is facing significant downward pressure from an additional 112 to 148 days ago. Real recovery can begin.
Based on the timeline of this historical setting, Bee estimates: BTC absolute price low this cycle It could be October 2026. According to his calculations, highlighted in the attached chart, Bitcoin could fall to $30,000 by the first week of the month. This is a decline of more than 75% from today. All-time high near $126,000Shows possible layers before next recovery.
In particular, Bee noted that historical 400-day bear markets typically follow bull markets that last about 1,064 days. This could result in the market resetting once the final cycle bottom is reached, potentially new bull market.
The analyst also warned that many investors may argue that the current market is different from past market trends. Exchange Traded Fund (ETF)These include institutional participation or large players such as BlackRock, the world’s largest Bitcoin ETF provider. But Bee countered that while each past cycle has “different” reasons, the historical 400-day pattern persists.
He emphasized that this repetitive structure has been maintained without a single error for over 10 years. The analyst also pointed out that there is no reason to believe that the current cycle will be any different, as the structure has remained consistent through changing narratives and broader market developments.
Expert Predicts Next Bottom, Rejects $100,000 BTC in 2026
In a separate but similarly downtrend post, cryptocurrency analyst Ted Pillows said: predicted Bitcoin bear market bottom timeline. Pillows pointed out that it took about 10 months for Bitcoin to bottom after a monthly downtrend. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Bearish Crossover It appeared in 2022.
He noted that if a similar trend occurs again, he expects BTC to reach its final price floor by the end of the third quarter (Q3) or early of the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2026. His chart points to a low target between $30,000 and $40,000. Meanwhile, analysts have dashed hopes for a long-term rebound this year. Rising towards $100,000 This is highly unlikely in 2026.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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