Giovanni Santostasi, a physicist known in the Bitcoin world for his “power law” theory, was a guest on Nathalie Brunel’s show.
Santostasi claimed that Bitcoin’s price chart actually has a mathematical trajectory so clear that it “cannot be ignored” and that this pattern will lead Bitcoin to reach $1 million in eight years and $10 million in 20 years.
Santostasi said the fundamental difference that separates Bitcoin from traditional companies is its “growth pattern.” He explained that while most companies grow exponentially, depleting their resources quickly and disappearing within about 150 years (less than 20 years for S&P 500 companies), Bitcoin, like a city, grows according to a “power law.”
“Cities are immortal. Rome has survived for thousands of years because cities are bottom-up, organic networks,” Santostasi said, arguing that Bitcoin as a social network exhibits a similar pattern of resilience and growth.
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According to physicists, the price of Bitcoin is not random, but is proportional to approximately the sixth power (exactly 5.8) of time (age of block creation). According to Santostasi’s model:
- Eight years from now: Bitcoin price will reach $1 million.
- 20 years later: Price rises to $10 million.
Santostasi said he was 90% confident in the accuracy of this data.
Santostasi compares short-term fluctuations (wars, banking crises, stock market crashes) to “weather,” and the laws of force are similar to “climate.” He said prices may occasionally move below or above the pattern, but always return to this main trajectory. Currently, Bitcoin’s four-year moving average shows a 97% correlation with the law of power, he noted.
Santostasi explained that Bitcoin’s price rise is directly related to “Metcalf’s Law” (the value of a network increases with the square of the number of users), adding that the relationship between the growth in the number of BTC addresses and price is similar to the growth dynamics of the Internet and Facebook.
*This is not investment advice.
