Bitcoin’s price action has seen it all: a five-digit plunge, regulatory crackdowns, exchange collapses, and a bear market that lasted nearly two years. Through all these events, one record was unblemished. Bitcoin has never closed January, February, and March all in the red in the same year. It hasn’t happened once in my entire trading history. However, with only a few days left until March 2026, The records are currently on life support.
Numbers that tell a story
Bitcoin is Running towards the end of March There is a possibility of losing money from the opening months to the full year for three consecutive years, a setup that has never been recorded in our trading history before. coin glass Monthly Return Heatmap It describes the situation with uncomfortable precision. January 2026 ended down 10.17%. February saw a 14.94% loss, marking the first consecutive losing February following a 17.39% loss in 2025.
March now risks ending in negative territory. Bitcoin is trading around $67,750 at the time of this writing, compared to its monthly opening price of $66,970 after the February close. This brings the monthly return for March to approximately 0.31%, with one trading day left until the monthly candle seal ends.
Bitcoin monthly returns (%). Source: Coinglass
Cross-referencing the entire historical data set, we see that no year in Bitcoin’s traceable price history (2013-2026) has had three consecutive red monthly closes starting that year. January 2015 was down 33.05%, January 2018 was down 25.41%, and February 2014 was down 31.03%. But while in each case they recovered and recorded a green close for at least one of the three opening months, 2026 brought no such relief.
Possibility of deficit for 6 consecutive months
Bitcoin is The long-running monthly deficit has ended. This is after reaching an all-time high of over $126,000 in October 2025. As a result, February 2025 ended in deficit for the fifth consecutive time, only the second time in history. that Now your records are at risk. Depending on how March goes, we’ll end the six months in the red.
The conditions underpinning this performance are the convergence of pressures that have steadily increased over the past six months. For now, investor sentiment for Bitcoin has fallen to multi-year lows. Now at the lowest level After the bear market in 2022.
As of now, the entire first quarter of 2026 is showing a negative performance of -22.6%. The first quarter of 2026 performance marks Bitcoin’s weakest opening quarter since 2018, when it lost 50.7% of its value between January and March. The damage in the first quarter of that year was absolutely worse, but in February it rose by 0.47%.
As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $67,750, with most investors still one day away from writing their last lines. I didn’t expect to see it An article written at the beginning of the year.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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