Polymarket now allows users to bet on the outcome of TradFi stocks. Traders can bet on whether the value of a selected company will increase or decrease on a particular day.
That category could expand dramatically as federal regulators increasingly say they are willing to offer “innovation exemptions” to companies like Polymarket. Still, such proposals can involve significant risks.
Polymarket stock bets
In recent weeks, TradFi and Web-3 native companies alike have sought to bridge the gap between these worlds in a variety of ways. Polymarket, an online prediction market, is ahead of its time, with the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange investing billions of dollars in the company.
Rumors are now starting to circulate on social media that Polymarket is allowing bets on stock prices.
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POLYMARKET will start stock market rise/fall and allow users to bet on stock prices: press release pic.twitter.com/fopouCIvXc
— Zoomer (@zoomerfied) October 15, 2025
These rumors pertain to press releases, which have apparently not been fully published and there are no related social media announcements. Still, the company may have only sent the document to certain dealers or customers without distributing it widely. One of these customers may have broken the press embargo early on.
In any case, Polymarket does indeed host bets on whether individual stocks will perform well.
Polymarket structures its bets on these stocks in a rather unique way. Each bet is applied to a 24-hour window, allowing gamblers to speculate whether the value of a company will go down or up. Payments are settled daily and there is no possibility of long-term plays like in derivatives.
Small change, big impact
Still, it will be interesting to see how Polymarket’s new stock categories evolve over time. The company recently received a no-action letter from financial regulators, allowing its triumphant return to the U.S. market despite past violations.
The so-called “innovation exemption” for cryptocurrencies is a top priority in the Web3 space.
In other words, this regulatory green light could lead to even larger programs. Polymarket is already exploring lucrative areas such as sports gambling. Full trading of the stock could further accelerate its success.
But without important guardrails, these bets could also lead to broader risks to the financial system.
In short, there are many reasons why crypto traders are interested in betting on polymarket stocks. This small change could signal a broader change in the interaction between TradFi and Web3.
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