The crypto market faces more than anything The $3.9 billion token will be unlocked this Octoberaccording to Cryptorank.
Projects that include Aster, Sui, Aptos, Arbitrum and Zora add hundreds of millions of supplies to the circulation. Unlocking tokens often increases sales pressure, but analysts say the background to long-term accumulation and the beginning of Q4 could change the bullishness of the altcoin story.
Related: Altcoin season makes a comeback with Binance Altcoin Volume Share Hit As
Aster and Sui will unlock in early October
The monthly schedule will be Aster (Aster), with $5358 million tokens available on October 5th. This reaches 4% of the market capitalization, with 320 million tokens added to distribution.
$3.9 billion worth of tokens to be unlocked in October
The next notable token unlock occurs in October: $ aster $ 503.58m $ sui $ 180.40m $ xpl $ 90.06m $ stbl $ 81.05m $ 54.82m $ 51.23m $ ZRO $ 49.23M $ 47.96M $ 41.94M pic.twitter.com/0jwprwaacx
– cryptorank.io (@cryptorrank_io) September 30, 2025
SUI (SUI) was closely followed by an unlock of $180.4 million on October 1, accounting for 0.57% of the market value. At the beginning of the month, Ethena (ENA) will release a $51.23 million token, equivalent to 0.63% of capitalization.
Mid-term unlocks are spread across major altcoins
Other important events include Plasma (XPL), with $90.06 million unlock on October 25th, and Pump.Fun.
STBL and Arbitrum (ARB) are scheduled for October 16th, with unlocking at $81.05 million and $37.71 million, respectively.
Aptos (APT) was set for October 12th, with $47.96 million, $49.23 million on October 20th, and Zora (Zora) was $41.94 million, equivalent to 10% of the total supply.
AltCoin Outlook: Accumulation phase unlocks pressure
Token unlocking is usually bearish as new supply can cause a sale. However, analysts argue that timing may support the bull.
Market Watcher Shimotsuma noted that Altcoins is in the longest accumulation stage ever, with lateral trading being extended for more than three years.
Altcoin MCAP has gone through its largest accumulation stage to date.
Even between the 2017 and 2021 alto seasons, the accumulation stage ended in two to three years.
This indicates that when a breakout occurs, Alts pumps like never before.
Q4 has also started
— Ito Shimotsuma (@ItoShimotsuma) October 1, 2025
Before the previous cycles of 2017 and 2021, there was a 2-3 year lateral activity, leading to an even longer period of time. Such extended periods often gave way to strong gatherings.
The beginning of Q4 adds more weight to the bullish aspects of the debate. This quarter has traditionally provided strong benefits to Altcoins, and if the pattern was repeated, October could set the tone for the next major gathering.
While immediate responses to unlocking can lead to short-term bearishness, the broader picture suggests that the market is approaching a turning point.
Related: Top 5 Altcoins surge after SEC ETFS decision in October
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