Over the past week, Bitcoin has recorded a significant wave of corrections, reaching a low of $85,000 as broader financial markets also fell due to fears of an imminent recession. The current tumultuous market presents an ideal accumulation opportunity for risk-seeking Bitcoin investors, according to recent on-chain data, as many people choose to exit their investments.
Accumulation Zone – Real-Time Stress, Long-Term Reward: Analyst
The fourth quarter of 2025 was a sustained period for most Bitcoin investors. After hitting a new record of $126,100 in early October, the leading cryptocurrency struggled to rally further, but instead succumbed to strong selling pressure and fell 30.1%. However, Bitcoin’s recent price decline has driven the market into a new dynamic that favors investors with higher risk tolerance based on historical data from the MVRV percentile indicator.
For context, Bitcoin MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) shows whether BTC is overvalued or undervalued by comparing Bitcoin’s current market cap to its realized capitalization (the value of the coin at the time of its last on-chain movement). Raw MVRV can be difficult to compare across cycles. MVRV percentiles therefore rank the current MVRV relative to its historical distribution (0-100), making it easy to determine extreme situations across different cycles, with higher percentiles indicating market overheating and lower percentiles suggesting capitulation.
Seasoned market analyst RugaResearch uses this indicator to explain that the current MVRV percentile falls within 0-10%. This is the range that is typically associated with large investor capitulation and market losses due to the fear gripping the markets. However, cryptocurrency experts have also observed that similar market conditions serve as ideal entry points for exponential price growth.
For example, when the price plummeted to around $200-$300 in 2015 after the Mt. Some of these people might have expected a blanket regulatory ban. However, the top cryptocurrency soared with massive traction in the following months, reaching its highest price of 2017 at $20,000, representing a 10x profit.
RugaResearch also cites a more recent example after BTC plummeted to $15,000 following the FTX collapse in 2022. This was heralded by other events, including the collapse of the Terra Luna ecosystem and companies such as Chelsea and Three Arrows Capital. Despite great fears in the market during this period, Bitcoin would record another resurgence with its price doubling within the next year.
Will Bitcoin Boom?
As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $88,200 after a 0.54% price increase the previous day. However, the performance on the weekly and monthly charts reports losses of 2.52% and 3.52% respectively, with many investors remaining underwater and others leaving the market. Nonetheless, RugaResearch explains that recent retail surrenders represent an ideal “high-risk, high-reward” area, given the MVRV percentile below 10. Analysts urge investors to act aggressively by accumulating to profit from the next explosive upward move.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com
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