As a result of many developments, the BULL and Bear markets have often been predicted that the four -year Bitcoin cycle has been often predicted. In this case, it means that the price measures will not proceed as expected. Bear Market may start early, just as there was an early start in Bull Market.
Development that threatens 4 years
The four -year cycle coincides with half of Bitcoin, and it occurs every four years, where block rewards for miners are reduced in half. Historically, the BTC price has reached a new high for half a year later, and Bull Market has begun only after Bitcoin Halving is completed. Then the bear market continues after the highest level and continues up to half. This was in the last three cycles of everything changing by 2024.
It was the last half of 2024, and the price of Bitcoin was expected to reach a new all -time high in one year in 2025. However, with the emergence of SPOT BITCOIN ETFS approved by Securities and Exchange Commission (See) in January 2024, BTC prices rose to the newest level before the planned Halving.
As the year progressed, the price of BTC was also progressed, and the price was promoted after half of April 20. By December 2024, the price has already exceeded $ 100,000, and the value of up to $ 69,000 is almost doubled at the previous cycle.
Not only did SPOT BITCOIN ETF lead the BTC price, but also the entrance of Bitcoin Treasury Company. This is Michael Saylor’s STRATEGY Inc. It was started by (formerly MicroStrategy). It started fasting in 2025, and now a 430 BTC purchase is more than $ 74 billion in BTC, which was announced on Monday.
Given the entrance of the SPOT BITCOIN ETF and over 100 Bitcoin Treasury Companies, it did not exist in the previous cycle, and BTC seems to have entered the unknown territory. This can effectively finish the four -year cycle of spending billions of dollars in the market at unprecedented speeds.
What happens if the Bitcoin 4 -year period is still not damaged?
Frank Fetter, the quantity of Vibe Capital Management, expressed what could be next if the Bitcoin four -year period was not damaged. As he pointed out, traditionally, there was an average of 1,060 between Bitcoin’s bottom and making the best in the bull market.
Currently, BTC is only about 1,000 days from 2022, so it still took a few months. This can mean that Bitcoin has a runway where Bitcoin can record a new all -time high before the next bear market comes. FETTER said, “If the traditional four -year period continues, the next 100 days can be interesting.
DALL.E’s main image, TradingView.com chart
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