Amid the renewed US attack on Iran, a cryptocurrency trader made a hefty profit on a bet that the US government would attack Tehran.
In this case, the trader is identified as: Vivaldi 007 on a gambling platform Polymarket According to the latest on-chain data obtained on February 28, it made about $385,000 in anticipation of military action.
Insights will show you which traders participated. Polymarket On February 8, 2026, they began betting on the possibility of attacks on Iranian targets by the United States and Israel.
Despite early setbacks as bets on various potential attack dates fell through, the situation changed with a coordinated U.S.-Israeli operation targeting key Iranian facilities on February 28, 2026, as the conflict over nuclear enrichment and regional influence continued.

Vivaldi 007 It spreads its investments across multiple February contracts, predicts a strike by a certain date, and reflects a firm belief that escalation is imminent. Initial bets expired worthless, but confirmed strikes activated several positions, pushing total profits to about $385,000 by February 28th.
More strikes expected
Meanwhile, another trader uses the wallet to Loeiha 2026opened an account just 11 hours ago and bet about $50,000 that the US would attack Iran by March 1, 2026.
The position quickly grew to a profit of about $96,800, sparking speculation as to whether the trade was a coincidence or was made with prior knowledge.
Someone created a new wallet “Roeyha2026” 11 hours ago and spent $50,000 betting that the US will attack Iran by March 1, 2026.
The wallet has now increased by $96.8,000.
Coincidence? https://t.co/tsp8bpK0pV pic.twitter.com/O1lNi3cT3h
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) February 28, 2026
The gains come amid increased scrutiny of potential insider activity. Polymarket. Past cases of well-timed geopolitical bets have attracted the attention of regulators and analysts, and some have resulted in criminal charges related to the misuse of classified information.
Although there is no evidence linking the latest trades to insider activity, a pattern of newly created and narrowly focused accounts posting exorbitant profits renews the debate over market integrity and oversight in decentralized prediction markets.
Meanwhile, the attack had a significant impact on broader financial markets. For example, concerns about supply disruptions through key routes such as the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices soaring, with Brent crude rising more than 3% to about $72.76 a barrel. Gold rallied towards $5,200 an ounce as investors sought safety.
Although the cryptocurrency moved in the opposite direction as Bitcoin plummeted and caused more than $100 million in liquidations, short sellers benefited as the digital asset was treated as risk-sensitive.
Featured image via Shutterstock

