BTC volatility rises to near peak in 1 year

$BTC Volatility returned to levels not seen since March 2025 as major coins quickly reacted to signs of panic. $BTC It has been deleveraged and there are signs of volatile sideways trading.

$BTC February saw a return to higher volatility. The monthly index rose to the highest level since March 2025.

$BTC Now it’s moving laterally, but it’s still choppy and changing rapidly from day to day. In the past week $BTC Rumor has it that nearly $70,000 was recovered. jane street Daily sales have been discontinued. The coin then experienced further decline, dropping to $65,000.

$BTC Volatility remains high

The latest 30-day forecast puts the volatility index at 2.63%, up from a low of less than 1% in January. Looking at a longer time frame, $BTC Over the past three years, volatility has remained within a range, indicating general market maturity.

$BTC Volatility has increased for six weeks and is back to March 2025 levels. Source: Vitobo

of $BTC The futures market remained deleveraged, with open interest falling to a one-year low of $19.74 billion. However, this does not prevent a short-term rebound or liquidation of long positions. The overall effect is increased volatility and price instability rather than long-term stagnation.

Current trading indicators indicate the formation of a market bottom after a sharp rally. surrender event, and even question its usefulness. $BTC Overall.

intention $BTC Will we end February in the red?

$BTC It was trading at $65,987.77 as of February 27, with a month-to-date loss of over 16%. For the first quarter of 2026, $BTC It’s down more than 24% in the first quarter to date.

The current monthly loss will be specific for the next period. $BTCNever in the history of the coin have there been back-to-back losses in January and February.

$BTC It will probably be the first time in its trading history that it will record losses in both January and February. |Source: Coin Glass

Usually one month out of the month we see a recovery, but in 2026, sentiment has fallen enough to extend losses for two consecutive months. Throughout February, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index remained in the “extreme fear” range, with no signs of confident buying or a decline in long positions.

$BTC It is also the only major asset that is delayed until 2026. Gold is up over 81%, while silver remains up 190% after the correction. The NASDAQ rose 21% despite the recent sell-off in software stocks due to the threat of AI disruption.

In the short term, $BTC It indicated that the sentiment could soon switch to more bullish sentiment. This coin is showing signs of a market bottom and may take some time to accumulate. So far, there is no sign that leverage, the main driver of directional price movements, will be rebuilt.

In the past, $BTC re-leveraged within three to six months, but this time the liquidation event on October 11 created deep distrust in futures trading. $BTC Traders and analysts have not yet reached a consensus. $BTC We’re either going to have a mini-bear market, or we’re going to spend years trading sideways again.