Bitcoin is probably floor structure formation According to cryptocurrency analyst Osemka, this is similar to the formation at the end of the 2018 bear market. After reviewing past macro lows, the analyst has the notion that the current Bitcoin setup does not resemble the 2022 cycle and is instead closer to the sustained downward pattern that preceded BTC’s price action in 2019.
This comparison is based on a downside resistance structure, potential liquidity sweep below $60,000. bear market bottom, Differences in strength occur over several time periods.
A downward structure is occupying the bottom of the market.
Bitcoin is currently trading around $65,000, which means it is down about half from its October 2025 high of $126,080. According to that standard, BTC is We have already entered a down market, Investor sentiment of extreme fear also supports this view.
in Analysis published onAfter reviewing all of Bitcoin’s major macro lows, Osemka explained that the current setup is more similar to the 2018 bear market bottom than the 2022 bear market bottom. The chart he shared shows a descending pattern with a falling blue trend line connecting successive lower highs caused by Bitcoin’s price action in February.
This structure shows price trading below downside resistance, similar to the late 2018 environment when Bitcoin continued to decline. According to analysts, the current pattern appears to be forming a similar liquidity setup, with Bitcoin’s price Bleeding is expected to gradually decrease before making the final decisive move.
Bitcoin price chart. Source: @Osemka8 on X
Liquidity hunt for $60,000, 3D bullish radiates as bottom signal
An important part of Osemka’s bottom prediction is the possibility of a liquidity sweep just below $60,000. The chart includes a dashed horizontal line near that level as a downside target where liquidity may stall.
The idea is that Bitcoin could continue to fall as it continues to follow its 2018 price action. It briefly fell below $60,000. This will absorb sell-side liquidity before it stabilizes. A similar liquidity hunt could complete the bearish pattern if it unfolds. Until then, the analyst’s message is patience.
Another key factor highlighted in the chart is the formation of a 3D bullish divergence. This is when BTC prints lower lows over multiple periods, but momentum indicators such as RSI, MACD or Stochastic make higher lows.
At the time of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $65,100 and is only a 7.8% correction away from falling below $60,000. The Fear and Greed Index is at an extreme fear level of 11, and Bitcoin is at risk of falling further below this level. this trend is reflected in Continued outflow of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. funds now 5 weeks in a row Net withdrawal.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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