The widely shared cycle model has reopened the debate on whether Bitcoin’s recent rally has already reached its peak.
According to posts on social platforms, the chart is the best possible market cycle or December 22, 2025, while price behaviors near $ 117,000 this week are cautious and strong.
The cycle model refers to the peak in December.
Based on the report, the chart traces the previous peak that occurred for more than 30 months after the previous market, and then extends this pattern from November 2022 to 37 months span.
The projection places the modeled tower on December 22, 2025, and offers a mid -term price target of nearly $ 200,000 for the same curve.
This time -based marker attracted attention because it fits the clear pattern. So far, the foot cycle has been longer than the previous cycle.
Veteran merchants publish a dangerous scenario
According to the public’s opinion, the veteran merchant Peter Brandt measured the weight as a disadvantage scenario. He proposed Bitcoin a fullback of $ 60,000 to $ 70,000 by November 2026, with a 30% chance of winning the first place in this cycle.
I think BTC is likely to have occupied this bull market cycle. The next station returns from $ 60K to $ 70K until November 2026, and then the next bull thrust $ 500K https://t.co/xpujqcjp9e
Peter Brandt (@peterlbrandt) August 15, 2025
Brandt has a chance to make his view rather than a firm prediction, and this kind of numerical accident helps the merchant to measure the risk rather than declaring certainty.
At the time of reporting, Bitcoin had a $ 117,790 deal in the last 24 hours. In the last seven days, prices fell 0.18% and 0.38% last month.
In a longer frame, BTC has risen 18% over the last six months and has increased 24% to date. This figure helps to explain why opinions are diverged.
Signals next time
The most clear way to test these scenarios according to market practices is flow and location. Trace ETF and institutional inflow, exchange balance and derivatives data.
The steady institutional purchase is long and the likelihood of going back is reduced. In terms of flip, continuous outflow, exchange inventory or heavy derivative liquidation will be reinforced with a larger fullback in $ 60K to $ 70K.
Has Bitcoin already reached its peak?
Estimation of Brandt -30% chance that BTC has already peaked and slide was $ 70,000 for $ 50,000 by November 2026.
Chart of TradingView, the main image of Unsplash
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