VanEck, an investment firm specializing in digital assets, predicts that Bitcoin could reach $2.9 million in 2050, according to a long-term analysis of capital markets. The company estimates a base-case compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% due to its adoption as a global payment instrument and central bank reserve asset.
According to VanEck, by 2050, Bitcoin could settle between 5% and 10% of global trade. Approximately 2.5% of central bank balance sheetshas established itself as an institutional financial product. Even in a conservative scenario, the company predicts its price could remain at $130,000, indicating that the asset already has significant value built in at current levels.
Research highlights short-term Bitcoin price volatility continues sensitive to global liquidity cycles; futures, However, its long-term value depends primarily on institutional adoption and integration as a reserve asset. Signals such as relative unrealized profits (RUP) and forward funding rates will help manage tactical risk for investors entering the market during 2026.
Bitcoin as a portfolio diversifier
VanEck’s analysis also highlights: Bitcoin acts as a portfolio diversifier. Estimated annual volatility is between 40% and 70%, comparable to major technology stocks, but correlations with stocks, bonds, and gold are historically low, and the stock maintains a negative relationship with the US dollar over the long term.
This makes it an asset that can protect against currency devaluation and the risks of a sovereign debt system, as reported by CriptoNoticias.
In summary, VanEck presents the following panorama. Bitcoin goes from a speculative asset to a global financial productIt has significant growth potential and a strategic role in a diversified portfolio, especially in the context of high sovereign debt and traditional market volatility.
