
Two trading desks on Wall Street can have economically similar exposure to Bitcoin while paying substantially different amounts to maintain that exposure. That’s not because one desk made a better market call, but because the regulated instruments carrying the position are within the collateral system and are not necessarily recognized as part of the same hedge.
One desk can rebuild a Bitcoin forward position from matching calls and deposit it into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), while the other desk can gain comparable price exposure through cash-settled CME Bitcoin futures contracts with similar maturities.
Economic risks are closely related, but financing costs are not.
A May 2026 study by Purdue University professor Mindy Mallory compared 386 matched observations and found that the annualized carry built into CME Bitcoin futures exceeded the fee-adjusted carry reconstructed from IBIT options by an average of 2.581 percentage points, with a median difference of 2.521 points.
Applied purely as an illustration, the annualized difference of 2.581 points on a $1 billion position equates to about $25.81 million per year, but the paper does not state that the wedge is a fixed fee, and was found to fluctuate significantly from date to date, sometimes completely reversing direction.
The results reveal one of the less visible effects of Bitcoin’s arrival on Wall Street. Investors now have several regulated ways to access the same assets, but those products sit in separate securities, options and futures systems that still don’t function like one integrated market.
Two routes to similar Bitcoin exposure
Currently, the institutional Bitcoin market includes spot traded products, listed options on those products, standard and micro CME futures, futures options and short-term Bitcoin Friday contracts, each offering a different combination of custody, leverage, liquidity, settlement and collateral processing.
In this study, a relevant comparison was made between the futures prices implied by IBIT options and the futures prices displayed in matching CME futures contracts.
Implied carry is relatively easy to observe because the futures contract already states the price at which the Bitcoin exposure will be settled at a later date.
The corresponding forward price within the options market for IBIT must be reconstructed through put-call parity. Put-call parity uses call and put prices that share the same strike price and expiration date to calculate the forward value implied by the options market.
BlackRock’s official IBIT disclosure includes the amount of Bitcoin each stock represents, the fund’s annual sponsorship fee of 0.25%, and allows the ETF’s implied forwards to be translated into Bitcoin terms and compared to CME futures.
In this study, we matched both routes to the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate New York variant, a once-daily Bitcoin benchmark synchronized to the New York market close at 4 p.m.
| Features | IBIT option route | CME futures route |
|---|---|---|
| exposure | The forward price is reconstructed from matched calls and puts on IBIT stock. | Bitcoin futures contracts provide direct futures exposure through a specified contract price. |
| underlying reference | IBIT stock backed by Bitcoin held by a trust. | Cash-settled Bitcoin futures linked to the CME reference rate methodology. |
| clearing system | Exchange traded options are typically cleared through options clearing companies. | Futures are cleared through CME Clearing. |
| How Carrie appears | Carry is estimated through put-call parity and must be adjusted for Bitcoin per share and fund fees. | Carry is shown in the futures premium or discount compared to the adjusted Bitcoin benchmark. |
| main friction | ETF finance, option liquidity, margin processing for securities accounts. | Separately set futures margin, daily settlement, and collateral requirements. |
| Average results of the study | On average, the implied carry is lower after adjusting for fees. | Carry outperformed the IBIT option route by an average of 2.581 percentage points per year. |
Data note: The 2.581 points figure is a historical sample average reported by the paper and is not a guarantee of a permanent price difference or trading return.
The average of 2.58 points is large enough to be economically meaningful, but it is not representative of any individual trading day.
The study reported a standard deviation of 4.716 percentage points, a 5th percentile measure of minus 4.767 points, and a 95th percentile measure of 10.418 points, indicating that relative costs vary widely and that CME is not always the more expensive route.
This difference increased with the maturity of the selected samples.
Positions within the 14-30 day window produced an average wedge of 2.222 points, while positions within the 31-60 day window averaged 2.939 points, with 193 observations in each group.
In the paper, we excluded 61- to 90-day results because long-term IBIT options are still too few to make a sufficiently stable comparison.
It is important to note these distinctions because the headline result should not be interpreted as a 2.58% surcharge automatically added to all CME futures positions, but as evidence that the prices of economically relevant Bitcoin exposures may remain different if capital, margin, and liquidity cannot be moved frictionlessly between their respective systems.
Why doesn’t arbitrage eliminate the difference?
In a fully integrated market, a sufficiently large and persistent price difference will attract arbitrage capital, buying the lower price and selling the higher price until the two prices come back together.
That process does not always occur in the Bitcoin market, as IBIT stocks and listed options occupy the infrastructure of the securities market, while CME futures uses a separate futures clearing house, margin cycle, and collateral framework.
Options Clearing Corporation and CME operate a cross-margin program that recognizes eligible offsetting positions held with various clearing institutions, reducing margin requirements and settlement requirements.
However, the OCC notes that participation is typically limited to clearing members, their affiliates, and certain market professionals, and the exact benefits vary depending on the product, account structure, broker and legal classification involved.
Therefore, an IBIT option position in one account does not automatically offset a CME futures position in another account just because the two trades appear to be hedged from an economic standpoint.
Companies are required to support two separate margin pools, even though they have little net price exposure to Bitcoin across their combined positions, reducing the amount of capital available for other positions and incurring funding costs that can be priced into the market.
Although the paper’s results are consistent with that distinction, they should not be interpreted as proving that margin treatment is the only possible cause of any diurnal differences.
Who ultimately bears the hidden costs?
Relative value funds feel the friction most directly because their strategies frequently combine one Bitcoin instrument with another, requiring collateral in multiple locations while remaining economically hedged.
A familiar example is basis trading. In this trade, an institution holds spot or ETF exposure while selling futures, attempting to capture the difference between the two prices rather than making unhedged predictions about Bitcoin’s direction.
igcurrencynews previously investigated how these strategies helped create a two-tier institutional Bitcoin market where ETF demand, futures hedging, and yield-focused positioning interact.
Market makers can transfer less visible costs through wider bid-ask spreads, option premiums, and implied volatility. This means that costs may end up reaching other investors without appearing as separately itemized fees.
Therefore, it is not possible to identify the cheapest regulated Bitcoin product by comparing expense ratios alone, as the full cost also depends on funding, liquidity, custody, margin offsets, collateral eligibility, and operating licenses attached to the account.
Against these larger variables, IBIT’s 0.25% sponsor fee can be one of the smallest components of the total cost of ownership.
This also complicates the interpretation of spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and outflows. That’s because not every stock that moves in and out of an ETF represents a simple investor decision to be bullish or bearish on Bitcoin.
ETF stocks can support basis positions, option hedges, covered call programs, relative value trading, and dealer inventory, which can produce activity that appears directional when viewed in terms of total daily flows alone.
igcurrencynews documented the change when open interest in Bitcoin options overtook futures. This reflects the increased use of structured exposure, hedging and volatility strategies rather than simple leveraged betting.
IBIT’s options market is also an important destination for covered calls and income-oriented positioning. The record activity occurred during a period of severe volatility as financial institutions reshaped risk through regulated US-listed wrappers.
That is, while large ETF inflows may coexist with short-term futures hedging, large outflows may reflect the exit of spreads and options-related inventories rather than the abandonment of long-term Bitcoin allocations.
CME resolved weekend trading gap but not collateral gap
On May 29, CME expanded its cryptocurrency futures and options markets to 24/7 trading, allowing regulated futures traders to take advantage of Bitcoin movements over the weekend without waiting for trading to resume on a traditional Sunday.
This change alleviates one key mismatch between continuously traded cryptocurrencies and the limited time frames of traditional derivatives markets, a transition that igcurrencynews considered in its coverage of how CME’s weekend expansion changed Bitcoin’s institutional trading cycles.
Not all components of the market have become continuous or fully integrated.
US stock markets and listed options markets will remain closed until the end of the week. Weekend and holiday trades on CME receive a trading day on the next business day, with clearing, settlement, and regulatory reporting occurring on that business day.
Therefore, while weekend shocks can be traded immediately through CME futures, the IBIT stock and exchange-traded options needed on the other side of the cross-market position will not be available until the stock market reopens.
As volatility increases, margin requirements and liquidity demands may increase accordingly, and separate collateral pools may be most burdened when arbitrage capital is required to reconnect prices between different wrappers.
Wall Street solved the first big problem posed by institutional adoption of Bitcoin by creating several regulated products that allow investors to gain exposure without holding the coin directly or using an offshore exchange.
The second problem is still unresolved. The idea is that these products operate as part of one connected market, where the collateral system recognizes that risks are economically offset wherever they appear.
Therefore, the average of 2.58 points reported in Purdue’s study is more than just a comparison of two loan rates, as it measures the potential cost of dividing a single underlying asset into only partially connected legal and operational parcels.
While investors may view IBIT options, CME futures, and Spot Bitcoin ETFs as different doors to the same market, the systems behind those doors still apply different rules for funding, settlement, and collateral, incurring costs that aren’t reflected in the ETF’s expense ratio.
(Tag translation) Bitcoin

