A financial analyst known as Darkforst said this Friday, April 10, 2026, “Bitcoin (BTC) has entered the final stage of a bear market.”
Experts say a repeating pattern in Bitcoin’s movement signals the end of a long-term negative trend. This technical movement Motivated by the need to “cleanse” the market of speculative participants Before address change.
Although the current Bitcoin price has crossed the $70,000 barrier, analysts warn that this step does not mean an immediate rebound. on the contrary, The process aims to “put pressure on long-term investors”.
Dirkforst explains that the main purpose of the current stage is to test the psychological resistance of these investor groups to force asset sales.
Historically, this cycle “usually starts with short-term investors.” The latter has already experienced high levels of financial stress over the past six months before pressure shifts to more powerful holders.
Analysts announce final phase of bearish cycle, It also warns that the price of Bitcoin could still fall significantly.. « Can it be lowered further? yes. Will it last for a few more months? “That’s right,” Dirkforst said, stressing that the end of a trend does not equate to an immediate price increase.
To support his claim, the analyst uses the LTH SOPR indicator (expenditure return)). This indicator allows you to track whether long-term Bitcoin holders are making profits or posting losses by moving their funds. A value less than 1 indicates that investors are selling at a loss. This is interpreted as a sign of surrender or technical surrender.
Analysts admit that the tool is not an accurate measurement as it involves simple fund transfers between one’s wallets. However, Dirkforst argues that: This indicator “provides a very strong overall trend” to understand market sentiment. Currently, the 30-day moving average for LTH SOPR is sitting at 0.96 (thick blue line, currently below the black dotted line ‘1’), confirming that this group of investors has already suffered real losses as seen in the chart.
in contrast, The annual average value of the same indicator is still in positive territory at 1.71.. This difference is due to the inertia of data collected during the previous month’s prosperity. But if long-term investors continue to lose money, “that would be a signal worth monitoring for long-term accumulation.”
Analysts suggest the market is entering a period of capitulation, when only the most convinced investors remain. In his view, “this is a phase that has to be approached with a long-term time frame in mind.” As reported by CriptoNoticias, uncertainty has increased in the global situation, given expectations that the US and Iran will begin diplomatic talks tomorrow in Islamabad. The purpose is to de-escalate tensions in armed conflicts that can directly impact the price of Bitcoin in the short term.
