Prediction market trades exceeded 192 million in March 2026. This is an all-time record as transaction volume and user growth continues to accelerate year on year.
The numbers tracked by Dune reflect a sector that has moved from a niche use case to a multi-billion dollar financial market.
Prediction market monthly trading. Source: Dune
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The number of monthly users increased by approximately 118% from 396,642 in March 2025 to 865,411, a record high.
Monthly notional trading volume in the prediction market reached approximately $23.89 billion so far in March, an increase of approximately 1,107% year-over-year. Still, it is about 10.7% below January’s all-time high of $26.7 billion.
BeInCrypto’s exclusive analysis reveals that sports, cryptocurrencies, and politics lead Polymarket’s weekly trading volume. In Calci, the exotic category overtook politics in late February to secure its place in the top three categories by weekly sales volume, according to Dune data.
Behavioral data also suggest structural changes. On Polymarket, over 57% of users trade for less than $100 per position.
The average active participant executes approximately 25 trades per day. This frequency reflects a pattern seen in retail stock trading rather than traditional gambling.
Despite growth, prediction markets face increased regulatory scrutiny. Lawmakers introduced multiple bills in March alone, ranging from curbing insider trading to banning war-related contracts.
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