In a recent announcement by US President Donald Trump, resume nuclear weapons testing A new wave of risk aversion is occurring in global markets, a situation that could impact the price of Bitcoin (BTC).
This measure ends a moratorium that lasted more than 30 years. Recent weapons demonstrations by Russia have heightened tensions on the international stage..
The US president’s message was released this Thursday, just before he meets Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea. President Trump, via his account on the social network Truth Social, directed the Pentagon to “begin testing nuclear weapons on equal terms” with other countries.
This kind of escalating geopolitical tension usually Negative impact on assets considered “risk” is still the category in which many people place Bitcoin. Despite their nature as decentralized stores of value, digital currencies tend to correlate with movements in stock markets such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in the short term.
Recent market data seems to confirm this trend. After the nuclear test announcement, the digital asset market contracted and its gains were limited (even after good news such as Fed interest rate cuts and the US-China trade deal).
As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $108,000 on major exchanges, according to the CriptoNoticias Calculator.
Awareness of risk is also evident in prediction markets. On the Polymarket platform, bets on the probability of a nuclear explosion this year have increased to 6% (up from 14% a few hours ago), a sign of the tension caused by announcements of this kind.
Bitcoin, a risk asset or a haven of value?
How Bitcoin’s price reacts to geopolitical events remains a matter of debate. While some argue that its decentralized nature and programmed scarcity could make it a long-term haven of value similar to digital gold, it is also true that its short-term behavior often aligns with risk assets.
The problem is that, for now, two properties coexist in Bitcoin. However, the facts suggest that growing distrust in central bank monetary policy and global political instability could lead to: In the long term, it strengthens the story of Bitcoin as a store of value and a viable alternative to the traditional financial system..
For now, the digital asset market continues to pay close attention to the developing tensions between the nuclear-armed states. Confirmed testing of a new weapon could increase the volatility of Bitcoin’s price and once again test its role in an increasingly uncertain world.
(Tag Translate) Analysis and Research
