Elon Musk raises a new question about Bitcoin’s long -term safety, facing the rapid development of quantum computing. Tesla and SPACEX CEOs returned to his AI chatbot, Grok, and found out how much he could be broken by Bitcoin’s SHA-256 Hasing Algorithm.
His question is expected to reach 2,000 global cubes by 2033, as IBM has released a major plan for the next -generation quantum system called Blue Jay.
Grok at least now predicts low risks
According to the Grok, the risk of splitting Bitcoin’s encryption by quantum computers is very low over the next five years. AI assumes that the opportunity will be close to zero during that period.
But in 2035, the probability increases slightly, but still less than 10%. This number is based on expert evaluation and current quantum functions.
Based on the 2025 evaluation of NIST, IBM, and Expert Surveys, the quantum calculation crack cracks SHA-256 (reduce free image search through the Grover’s algorithm) is close to 0%for the next five years, so <10%is required by 2035.
-Grok (@grok) August 2, 2025
Musk’s concerns come anywhere. Companies such as Google and Microsoft are developing their own quantum platforms (Willow and Majorana 1), which arouses arguments whether cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin can one day be vulnerable to this very powerful system attack.
Currently, most of the quantum systems are only about 1,000 cuits. It is much lower than millions of errors that scientists think they are needed to break Bitcoin’s encryption defense.
Grok added that more powerful algorithms, such as SHA-3 or SHA-512, can be used as a substitute if necessary.
Quantum computer vs. blockchain
Meanwhile, according to a recent analysis of global auditor, DELOITTE, Quantum Computers can soon threaten the security of the Bitcoin blockchain, which is risk of being stolen through bilateral attacks about 25%of Bitcoin.
After all, quantum computers can be powerful enough to stop the entire transaction process, analysts said. To prevent this, Bitcoin Network must adopt Quantum Cryptograpy, an emerging solution inquiring by encryption artists around the world.
Image: The Quantum Insider
IBM’s Blue Jay puts pressure
IBM’s new system, BLUE JAY, will perform more than one billion gate work beyond the function of computers today.
It is part of the company’s greater efforts to stand at the forefront of quantum computing until the early 2030s. Competition is heating up because it is not far from other industry companies such as Google and Microsoft.
Both Tesla and Spacex have Bitcoin
Musk’s curiosity is not just a study. Tesla currently owns 11,500 Bitcoin and currently costs about $ 1.3 billion. Spacex also has a significant amount and has a $ 850 million BTC. Musk himself confirmed that he had a bitcoin in his personal portfolio.
It is not surprising that Musk wants to go ahead of potential threats, depending on this degree of holding. His tweets look comfortable, but they indicate an increase in perception in the technology world of how quantum power can affect the world of encryption and finance.
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